NEW ANALYSIS REAFFIRMS BITCOIN’S STRENGTH AS LONG TERM INVESTMENT; FOLLOWS IN GOLD'S FOOTSTEPS A new study indicates that Bitcoin (BTC) holders make a profit after an average of 1,335 days - which equates to roughly three years and eight months.  The data was released earlier this week by BitcoinEconomics.io, and the cycle lengths shown roughly correlate to the various reward halving events. The chart (shown below) essentially considers the amount of time between different peaks and how long it would take an investor to profit if they bought at the previous cycle's peak. Bitcoin Profit Probability chart. Source: BitcoinEconomics.io This… Read More

Stocks finished the other week slightly lower than the previous, after three consecutive weeks of gains.  The primary factors that captured the attention of investors were the upwards spike in oil prices and the Federal Reserve's decision to cut rates for the second time this year. A terrorist attack on critical oil infrastructure in Saudi Arabia resulted in the worst oil supply disruption in history.  A whopping 6% of the entire world's production was impacted. Oil prices rose 15% at first, but then ultimately gave back some of the early gains, finishing the week 6% higher.  Saudi officials stressed that… Read More

BTC NETWORK POWER CONTINUES GROWTH, HITS NEW RECORD HIGH New hashrate numbers have shown that the Bitcoin network is now 8 times more powerful than it was at its $20k price peak in late 2017. Data from Bitcoin network monitor Blockchain.com confirmed that the Bitcoin network's total hash rate reached a peak of 79 trillion terahashes per second (TH/s) earlier this week, passing the previous all time high of 70 trillion TH/s.  Hash rate is generally accepted as a measure of how much computer power is spent on a network's security, meaning that the higher the TH/s rate, the more… Read More

Billionaire Ray Dalio has made the case for investing in gold as interest rates continue to fall and central banks print more money, resulting in devalued currencies. In a recent LinkedIn post, the founder of Bridgewater Associates wrote about monetary policy and the markets over the last 50 years.  He said investors have been over-investing in stocks and other equity-like assets that will most likely see diminishing returns. "The world is leveraged long, holding assets that have low real and nominal expected returns that are also providing historically low returns relative to cash returns. I think these are unlikely to… Read More

Over the last few weeks, bond price have spiked even as yields have plunged. Investors are waking up to a coming recession. Their knee-jerk reaction has been to pour their money into safe haven Treasuries, thinking this will save them. The 10 year Treasury yield dropped to 2.26 percent last week on May 29th. This graph reveals the trend: [caption id="attachment_14802" align="aligncenter" width="700"] Chart appears courtesy of CNBC.com[/caption] This has led to a yield curve inversion, which has historically (and very accurately) indicated a recession looming on the horizon. Economist Peter Schiff has been warning about the end of the… Read More

Lately it seems the economic news only continues to get worse. In the last few weeks, consumer credit has reached all- time highs and auto delinquencies have neared those not seen since the worst point of the Great Recession. This past week, lenders had still more negative news to digest. The subprime category of credit card charge offs are still at record levels not seen since the Global Financial Crisis. Consider the first quarter of the year 2019. In all excluding the biggest 100 banks in the U.S., the rates for credit card charge offs have now been over seven… Read More

The most recent data out of the New York Fed is ominous. The current auto loans that are in serious delinquency (meaning that they are over 90 days past due) has jumped to a percentage of 4.69 percent for first quarter 2019. In the darkest days of the Great Recession, they only peaked a bit higher at 5.27 percent. These car loan delinquencies have now stretched up to their greatest amount dating back to 2011 and are nearing those scary Great Recession peaks. In actual dollars, the debt of delinquent auto accounts is already massively higher than witnessed in the… Read More

Last week, the U.S. Treasury revealed that it will not need to borrow so much money for the third quarter of 2019 as it had originally forecast. This had many people scratching their heads. The reason has nothing to do with the government reigning in its spending though. Reuters demystified the mystery in a cite from a Treasury official. His statement explained this as changes having to do with fiscal activity. The Treasury official put a positive spin on it with: "The fiscal change related to the Fed's plans to stabilize its massive portfolio of bonds relative to the size… Read More

Last Thursday saw yet more bad news coming out from the deteriorating American housing market. For January 2019, United States' home sales collapsed to their lowest point in over three years. Housing prices themselves ticked up just modestly. The statistics are anything but encouraging as they continue to indicate still more weakness and momentum loss within the overall important housing market. Keep in mind that this Real Estate sector is a key leading economic indicator too. The National Association of Realtors revealed the grim statistics. They stated that the critical existing home sales category declined by a sobering 1.2 percent to an… Read More

Thanks to the steadfastness of the World Gold Council, you are never at a loss for how many tons of gold are in demand each year in all of the important gold categories. Just last week, the World Gold Council released its most current data on gold-backed Exchange Traded Funds. The hottest news is that this gold category ended year 2018 over $100 billion total for the first time since last crisis year 2012. Gold ETF's purchased an additional 69 tons of the yellow metal for 2018, increasing the category's total holdings up to 2,440 tons with a value of $100.6… Read More

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