About: Wesley D. C.
- W.D. Crowder is an American published author. His background and areas of expertise include history, economics, expatriate living, international relations, investments and personal finance. A widely read and top of his class graduate of Stetson University, he obtained his bachelor of arts degree in History with minors in Latin American Studies and International Relations and a special emphasis in Economics. He was President of his Phi Alpha Theta (National History Honors Fraternity) Stetson University chapter and a Phi Beta Kappa (National Honors Fraternity) member.
Posts by Wesley D. C.:
Over the last few weeks, bond price have spiked even as yields have plunged. Investors are waking up to a coming recession. Their knee-jerk reaction has been to pour their money into safe haven Treasuries, thinking this will save them. The 10 year Treasury yield dropped to 2.26 percent last week on May 29th. This graph reveals the trend: [caption id="attachment_14802" align="aligncenter" width="700"] Chart appears courtesy of CNBC.com[/caption] This has led to a yield curve inversion, which has historically (and very accurately) indicated a recession looming on the horizon. Economist Peter Schiff has been warning about the end of the… Read More
Lately it seems the economic news only continues to get worse. In the last few weeks, consumer credit has reached all- time highs and auto delinquencies have neared those not seen since the worst point of the Great Recession. This past week, lenders had still more negative news to digest. The subprime category of credit card charge offs are still at record levels not seen since the Global Financial Crisis. Consider the first quarter of the year 2019. In all excluding the biggest 100 banks in the U.S., the rates for credit card charge offs have now been over seven… Read More
The most recent data out of the New York Fed is ominous. The current auto loans that are in serious delinquency (meaning that they are over 90 days past due) has jumped to a percentage of 4.69 percent for first quarter 2019. In the darkest days of the Great Recession, they only peaked a bit higher at 5.27 percent. These car loan delinquencies have now stretched up to their greatest amount dating back to 2011 and are nearing those scary Great Recession peaks. In actual dollars, the debt of delinquent auto accounts is already massively higher than witnessed in the… Read More
This past week, the Federal Reserve released their most recent report on consumer debt. It did not paint a pretty picture. Overall consumer debt increased by a sobering $10.3 billion for March. This brought it up to an all time high of over $4 trillion ($4.05 trillion to be exact). The chart below shows the year long trend in consumer debt: This means that through the conclusion of the first quarter in 2019, the total American consumer indebtedness rose at a yearly rate of 4.25 percent. Yet March's increase was a mere 3.1 percent. This March total actually came in… Read More
Last week, the U.S. Treasury revealed that it will not need to borrow so much money for the third quarter of 2019 as it had originally forecast. This had many people scratching their heads. The reason has nothing to do with the government reigning in its spending though. Reuters demystified the mystery in a cite from a Treasury official. His statement explained this as changes having to do with fiscal activity. The Treasury official put a positive spin on it with: "The fiscal change related to the Fed's plans to stabilize its massive portfolio of bonds relative to the size… Read More